Dear Diana: Unless you were absolutely menopausal (amenorrhea for one year), one can have widely fluctuating estradiol levels secondary to fluctuating FSH levels. For example, a woman can have an FSH of 80 and an estradiol of 20 picograms. If there are still semi-viable follicles in the ovary, one or several can begin to make estrogen in response to the high FSH. When that occurs, hot flashes go away, and a flow may return. All this is without any HRT exposure. As an aside, when a woman is using estrogen it can drive down her FSH by maybe 25%. But it cannnot return the FSH to premenopausal levels (eg FSH less than 12-15).
In your specific case it is not clear to me if the current bleeding is completely an HRT Issue, an ovarian follicle awakening, or a combination.
As you may have read, if the uterine lining is like grass or lawn, estrogen is like the fertilizer (causes a thickening of the lining), and progesterone is like the lawnmower (keeps the lining thin by three different mechanisms). This is why DepoProvera (high dose synthetic progesterone) brings about a thin lining, and why birth control pills (relatively progesterone dominant) bring about shorter, lighter periods.
Given all this you MIGHT have some additional estrogen effect from either the extra doses of Estrogel or a suddenly awakened ovarian follicle. Two months ago (before increasing the Estrogel) your lining was .6 cm/6mm. A lining of 3-4mm or less does not usually need progesterone exposure.
Bottom line, you are doing the right thing in returning to the GYN who is prescribing your HRT. They might make some changes in your dose or regimen. They might do another ultrasound to measure the lining. They could even decide to do an endometrial biopsy, yet the bleeding you describe sounds more typical for hormones not pre-cancerous cells of the uterine lining.
Can this erratic bleeding be typical for HRT? In my clinical experience, yes it can. As noted above, a woman who is still in the process of perimenopause can be the most difficult to fine tune as far as bleeding. This is one of the reasons many GYNs turn to super low dose birth control pills. There is plenty of estrogen to control symptoms, and just the right amount of synthetic progesterone for cycle control. And perhaps most helpful, ovarian episodic activity is leveled out.
I would urge you to continue with your medications exactly as ordered so you can report back the results. If you are uneasy about waiting for two weeks you should contact your GYN. They can give you the most "for sure" answer as they have access to all your lab results and health history.
Yours,
Jane